Probability MT22, Branching processes


Flashcards

What’s the “offspring distribution” in a branching process?


The distribution for the number of children of each individual.

What assumption is made about individuals reproducing in a branching process, other than having the same offspring distribution?


They reproduce independently.

If the offspring distribution is $G(s)$, what’s the distribution for the number of individuals in the $n$-th generation?


\[G(G(G(G(G\ldots(s)))))\]

repeated $n$ times.

What’s the basic gist of proving the fact $G _ {n+1}(s) = G(G _ n(s))$ for a branching process?


The random sums theorem.

If each individual in a generation of a branching process gives birth to $\mu$ children, what’s the expected number of children in the $n$-th generation?


\[\mu^n\]

What’s the probability that a branching process with generating function $G(s)$ dies out?


Smallest solution to $s = G(s)$

@Prove that if a branching process has offspring distribution given by probability generating function $G$ then the distribution for the number of individuals at generation $n$ is given by

\[G^n(s)\]

@todo (probability, page 42).

@important~

Let $X _ n$ be the number of children in the $n$-th generation of a branching process and that the mean number of children of a single individual is $\mu$. @Prove that

\[\mathbb E[X _ n] = \mu^n\]

@todo




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