Probability MT22, Weak law of large numbers


Flashcards

Let $X _ 1, \ldots, X _ n$ be a random sample (i.i.d. r.v.s.) with mean $\mu$. What does the weak law of large numbers state for any $\epsilon > 0$ (as $n \to \infty$)?


\[\lim _ {n \to \infty}\mathbb{P}\left(\left \vert \frac{1}{n} \sum^n _ {i=1} X _ i - \mu\right \vert > \epsilon\right) = 0\]

The weak law of large numbers states that

\[\lim _ {n \to \infty}\mathbb{P}\left(\left \vert \frac{1}{n} \sum^n _ {i=1} X _ i - \mu\right \vert > \epsilon\right) = 0\]

What is the interpretation of what this means?


\[\overline{X _ n} \approx \mu \text{ for large }n.\]

@Prove (under the assumption variance is finite) the weak law of large numbers:

Suppose that $X _ 1, \ldots$ are i.i.d. random variables with mean $\mu$. Then, for all $\varepsilon > 0$,

\[\mathbb P \left( \left \vert \frac 1 n \sum^n _ {i=1} X _ i - \mu \right \vert \le \varepsilon \right) \to 0\]

as $n \to \infty$.


@todo (probability, page 65).

@important~




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